On the domestic political stage, the process of redistributing forces is just beginning, with parties preparing for elections, and the government acting far more proactively than the opposition. This was stated by political analyst Argishti Kiviryan.
“It seems that the opposition still lacks clarity on who will ally with whom for the elections, what program they will present, and what ideological platform they will adopt. Most likely, the opposition’s readiness should be expected by late autumn or early spring,” he said.
Commenting on the Gallup International polls, which indicated a decline in the ruling party’s ratings and a rise in support for the “Our Way” movement, Kiviryan noted that in Armenia, poll results mean next to nothing. He emphasized that polls are also conducted by Armenia’s special services, specifically the National Security Service (NSS), so the authorities are always well-informed about the real state of affairs. However, the key issue is that the government in Armenia ensures its continuity solely through administrative resources, which account for 20–30% of voter support.
For this reason, Kiviryan believes that seizing power through elections is impossible in Armenia’s current realities. A change of power is only feasible if elections are accompanied by a revolution. If a force emerges with the determination to pursue this path, it will be able to foster the necessary public sentiment.

