According to a new GALLUP Armenia survey, if parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, 28.8% of voters would support the ruling Civil Contract party. The Strong Armenia alliance ranks second with 14.9%, while the Armenia Alliance is third with 12.1%.
The poll also suggests that two additional political forces currently have realistic chances of entering parliament. Prosperous Armenia is supported by 8.7% of respondents, while the Wings of Unity party receives 5.8%. Several other political groups remain below the electoral threshold but are approaching it. Among them are the Democracy, Law and Discipline party with 3.4%, Bright Armenia with 2.9%, the Republican Party of Armenia with 2.8%, and the New Force reformist party with 2.7%.
Another 1.9% said they would vote for the democratic “Against Everyone” party, while the remaining political forces failed to exceed 1%. Meanwhile, 8.6% of respondents refused to answer the question, 3.4% said they were undecided, and 0.9% stated they would intentionally spoil their ballot.
Most voters have not studied party programs
At the same time, 54.7% of respondents said they had not familiarized themselves with the electoral program of any party or alliance. Among those who had reviewed party programs, Civil Contract again ranked first with 31.1%, followed by Strong Armenia with 21.7%, while Prosperous Armenia placed third with 13.4%.
Political participation remains limited
According to the survey, the overwhelming majority of citizens — 87.4% — have not participated in meetings organized by political parties. 8.4% attended Civil Contract events, 2.6% participated in Strong Armenia meetings, 1.8% attended Armenia Alliance events, and 1.6% took part in Prosperous Armenia gatherings.
Willingness to vote continues to grow
Another significant result of the survey is the continued increase in citizens’ willingness to participate in elections. While 51.9% of respondents said in early April that they intended to vote, that figure has now risen to 59.3%. An additional 14% stated they would “most likely participate” in the elections.
Respondents were also asked whether they believe the 2026 parliamentary elections will be fair. 28.1% answered that the elections would be “definitely fair,” while 23.8% said they would be “mostly fair.”
At the same time, 19.1% believe the elections will “mostly involve fraud,” and 17% are convinced they will be “definitely fraudulent.” In addition, more than half of respondents expressed readiness to participate in street protests if they believe the elections are conducted unfairly. 40.5% said they were “definitely” ready to join protests, while another 10.8% stated they were “more likely ready.”