Given the history of bloodshed in Armenia-Azerbaijan relations, establishing peace through a single document seems unlikely. This was stated by Tatul Hakobyan, head of the “Ani” analytical center, commenting on yesterday’s post by U.S. President Donald Trump, who claimed he had achieved “eternal peace” between Yerevan and Baku.
“I don’t want to diminish the significance of the document signed in Washington, but establishing real peace will require a great deal more effort,” he noted. Hakobyan added that Armenia and Azerbaijan face a long and complex process of societal reconciliation, which involves not only ordinary citizens but also political elites and those who shape policy.
“I’m not even talking about the fact that no one should interfere with this process. Right now, the ‘disruptors’ are silent, but if they start acting, these agreements will likely remain on paper,” he remarked.
Hakobyan does not believe that the signing of a peace treaty in the White House, in the presence of the U.S. President, could significantly influence Baku and rule out the possibility of new military aggression by Azerbaijan against Armenia.
“World history has seen many cases where, even after signing a document, the parties tore it up after some time and resumed war. However, this document is important to prevent Azerbaijan from pursuing provocations and localized incursions in the near future, as we have repeatedly witnessed since 2020,” he stated.
According to Hakobyan’s assessment, this document will allow Armenia to “take a breather and deeply rethink the situation.”