Armenia’s current political landscape is marked by growing instability and internal exhaustion within the ruling authorities. According to political analyst Suren Surenyants, the country has entered a phase where the existing power structure is approaching its final stage. This marks the political endgame of the government, with increasingly limited options for a stable and peaceful outcome.
Surenyants argues that when a ruling force depletes its political toolkit and begins relying on informal or criminalized elements as instruments of control, it is a clear sign that the system is nearing collapse rather than renewal.
2026 Elections: Delay, Not a Solution
According to the analyst, the 2026 parliamentary elections will not resolve the core crisis facing the current authorities. At best, they may only postpone the inevitable outcome.
Surenyants warns that by that time, the criminalization of political processes could become visible. This may occur even at the level of polling stations. Such dynamics narrow the space for institutional solutions and increase the risk of destabilizing political change.
The Closure of the Electoral Path
Surenyants emphasizes that he is fundamentally opposed to revolutionary or street-based change. He has always supported classical electoral mechanisms.
However, he argues that it was Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan himself who effectively closed that path. This was done by undermining trust in electoral legitimacy. Even if the ruling force tactically survives the 2026 elections, Armenia will not enter a period of calm governance.
Instead, the country risks falling into a cycle of permanent crises. These crises may unfold both domestically and in foreign relations.
The Political Endgame of the Government: Exhausted Tools
According to Surenyants, the ruling authorities no longer function as a coherent political team. What remains is a limited circle of spokespersons. Their statements often lack substantive political content.
Internal filtering processes are already underway. Preferences and loyalties are shifting. Those tasked with carrying out the most controversial assignments are likely to be pushed aside over time. This process will continue until the system’s structural weakness becomes fully exposed.
Political Axioms Cannot Be Bypassed
Concluding his assessment, Surenyants stresses that Nikol Pashinyan is not a political anomaly. He cannot bypass fundamental political axioms or indefinitely extend power through improvisation.
“These developments confirm that Armenia is entering the political endgame of the government,” the analyst notes. According to him, the chosen path leads not to stability, but to deeper and more persistent crises.