The process of forming a new world order is already visible: its “footsteps” have long been audible, and today it is gradually taking on clear outlines. This is noted by Turkologist Tiran Lokmagyozyan, addressing global political realignments and Turkey’s ambitions within them.
Grand Ambitions — From the Erdoğan Era Onward
According to Lokmagyozyan’s assessment, Turkey will naturally seek to secure its place in the emerging new system, but unlike other states, its ambitions are far more pronounced.
“Many countries mainly want to simply be involved in the newly forming structure, to be part of it, but Turkey — for years, especially since the Erdoğan period — has been acting with grand ambitions. It will not be content with the role of a rank-and-file participant but will try to establish itself as one of the central, key players,” he notes.
According to the Turkologist, Ankara has already received the “green light” for the idea of forming the so-called Greater Turan and is consistently moving in that direction.
Deep Continuity in American Policy
Turning to U.S. policy, Lokmagyozyan emphasizes that changes in U.S. administrations do not mean a sharp revision of policy. He recalls that the United States is a country with a “deep state,” and the main guidelines of foreign policy do not change with shifts in power.
Although globalist approaches previously dominated, and today nationalist accents are more pronounced — especially in Donald Trump’s case — the overall strategic goals remain the same. “The paths change, not the end goal,” he notes.
In Lokmagyozyan’s view, Trump is not a globalist and operates from positions of prioritizing national interests, emphasizing the agenda of strengthening America. However, even in this case, the U.S. does not relinquish influence in important regions, including the South Caucasus and developments around Iran.
Israel, Iran, and the Turkish Factor
The Turkologist singles out two key directions that determine U.S. activity in the region. The first is linked to the Israel-Iran conflict. In his assessment, Israel is interested in weakening Iran, and the U.S. will never take a step that harms Israel’s interests. He stresses that Trump is known for his pro-Israel stance and has strong ties to Jewish circles.
The second important circumstance is Turkey. According to Lokmagyozyan, after the end of the Cold War, many predicted a decline in Turkey’s role or even its fragmentation, but those predictions did not come true. “Turkey has been and remains NATO’s main stronghold in this region,” he notes, emphasizing that Washington will not replace a force that has effectively served its strategic interests for decades.
“Today Turkey continues to effectively perform its role, so why should the U.S. replace it in such a situation,” he stresses. In turn, Turkey, taking advantage of this circumstance, will try in the processes of forming the new world order to make maximum use of the emerging opportunities and further strengthen its positions — not only as a regional actor but also as one with broader influence.